PIIE projects China GDP growth to slow to 4.3% by 2027 as exports fade

The Peterson Institute forecasts China's GDP growth will ease to 4.6% this year and 4.3% in 2027, down from 5% in 2025, citing fading export strength and weak domestic demand. The global economy is expected to remain resilient, but the report highlights China's structural slowdown. This matters as it signals persistent deflationary pressure and reduced demand for commodities from the world's second-largest economy.