Minas Gerais and Paraná head to likely runoff in Brazil state elections

Recent Quaest and Datafolha polls indicate that Minas Gerais and Paraná will join a small group of states where gubernatorial races are competitive enough to force a second round, while most state contests remain low-competition. The outcome is uncertain as polls are pre-election snapshots, but the trend suggests a fragmented political landscape in Brazil's 2026 state elections.