Brazil fiscal fatigue: debt rise erodes policy space, raises risk premium
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Brazil's government has transferred R$16 billion in fuel subsidies to Petrobras, with an additional R$2.8 billion for diesel and gasoline in the first half of July. This continues an established pattern of state support to cap fuel prices, but the scale and timing suggest fiscal pressure and potential market distortion. The subsidy program's sustainability is uncertain amid global oil price volatility.
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