Oil eases as Hormuz flows near pre-war levels; Trump signals restraint
Oil prices temporarily fell after Trump announced he would wait for new attacks, and Strait of Hormuz flows are nearly back to pre-war levels. This suggests supply disruption fears are easing, though the situation remains fluid and could reverse quickly.
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US Defers Iran Strikes Pre-Midterms Amid Escalated Readiness
The US has prepared a three-day strike plan against Iranian military and energy targets, deploying significant naval and ground forces to the Middle East. However, President Trump has publicly deferred any offensive military action against Iran until after the November midterm elections, despite ongoing Iranian attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz. This creates a near-term de-escalation of direct conflict risk, but maintains high readiness for potential post-election action.