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5.2

US midterm 'blue wave' uncertain as Trump voters hard to poll

Polling indicates 60% disapproval of the president, but analysts caution that Trump-aligned voters are notoriously difficult to reach, making a Democratic midterm wave less certain. The gap between polling and actual turnout among this group introduces significant uncertainty into election forecasts.

Irish Independentabout 14 hours agoUSengCredibility 18%View source

Score Breakdown

Mosaic Score5.2
Model confidence0.5
Significance0.5
Source credibility0.2
Source

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