Quaest poll: Tarcísio leads Haddad 42%-27% in São Paulo governor race

A Quaest poll shows incumbent Governor Tarcísio de Freitas leading challenger Fernando Haddad 42% to 27% in the first round of the São Paulo gubernatorial election, with a 2-point margin of error. The survey, conducted September 4-7, suggests a comfortable lead but not an outright first-round win. This is an early snapshot ahead of the 2026 election, and dynamics could shift as the campaign progresses.