PoliticsReportedMediumDeveloping

Brazil Amazonas governor race: Lula and Flávio tied at 49% in runoff, PoderData poll

A PoderData poll of 1,200 Amazonas voters (Oct 8-11, margin ±2.8pp) shows Lula and Flávio each at 49% in the second round, indicating a statistical tie. The race remains highly competitive with no clear frontrunner, and the outcome could hinge on undecided or late-breaking voters.

Poder360about 8 hours agoBRCredibility 41%View source

Score Breakdown

Mosaic Score6.1

Model confidence0.5

Significance0.5

Source credibility0.4

Intelligence Tags

#brazil #election #poll #amazonas #governor

Locations

Amazonas

Entities

country

Source

Part of 2 situations

activePolitics7h ago

Brazil Election Runoff: Flávio Leads Polls, Lula Rallies Amid Tight Race

With 13-14 days remaining until the Brazilian presidential runoff, Flávio Bolsonaro holds a numerical lead in the majority of recent polls (4-5 out of 5-6 surveys), while Lula da Silva leads in one (Vox Brasil). The race remains within the margin of error in most surveys, indicating a highly competitive and uncertain outcome. Lula is actively campaigning to mobilize working-class and youth voters.

→ stable·6 signals·BRScore 5.9

activePoliticsJusticejust now