El Niño forecast to break records, extreme climate impacts expected through 2027

Pacific water temperatures exceed 30°C, with hundreds of climate simulations indicating the El Niño event is still intensifying. Peak is expected in December, but the hardest global climate impacts—including fires, floods, and super typhoons—are projected to be felt as late as 2027. Experts describe it as potentially the strongest phenomenon in a thousand years, though such long-range forecasts carry significant uncertainty.

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