Ethiopia: Federal army clashes with rebels, risking renewed civil war

Fighting resumed in late September between Ethiopia's federal army and multiple rebel groups after months of tension, raising the specter of a new large-scale conflict following the 2020-2022 civil war. The scope and intensity of the clashes remain unclear, as does the potential for escalation. This development signals a breakdown in the fragile post-war order and poses a significant risk to regional stability in the Horn of Africa.