US-Iran tensions: diplomatic activity rises ahead of post-midterm policy shift

Diplomatic activity in the Persian Gulf has increased to its highest level in months, raising speculation about a potential US-Iran confrontation or de-escalation after the US midterm elections. The outcome of the midterms will shape President Trump's freedom to act, but the direction of US policy remains uncertain. This matters because any shift in US-Iran posture directly affects Gulf security, oil shipping lanes, and regional alignment.

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