Rare Earth Stocks Fall Despite Price Surge: Equity Disconnect
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The article argues that despite Western efforts to develop rare earth alternatives, production capacity remains the critical bottleneck, giving China continued leverage. It highlights that China's export controls have repeatedly spurred innovation but not solved the immediate supply problem. The piece underscores a strategic shift toward building Western processing and manufacturing capacity as a geopolitical imperative.
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China has expanded its export control regime to include AI-related technologies, solar technologies, and machinery, with draft rules specifically targeting AI models. Beijing has also publicly justified rare-earth export restrictions against Japan, citing remilitarization concerns, which threatens Japanese industries. The scope and enforcement details of these new controls remain unclear, but they signal a broadening of China's strategic trade restrictions.
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