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ConflictEmergingMediumDeveloping
7.0

Leaked Sberbank internal document assesses Russian victory probability at 7%

Hackers from the group Black Mirror leaked an internal Sberbank analysis estimating a 7% probability of a Russian victory in the war against Ukraine. The authenticity of the document remains unverified, and it is unclear if this represents an official institutional forecast or a speculative internal scenario.

The Insiderabout 13 hours agoRU, UACredibility 61%View source

Score Breakdown

Mosaic Score7.0
Confidence0.3
Significance0.5
Source credibility0.6

Intelligence Tags

Locations

Moscow

Entities

countrycountry
Source

Related signals

8 found