MarketsNotableReportedDeveloping
6.4
Argentina July activity drops 2.9%; Milei disputes data, JPMorgan sees Q3 contraction
La Nación (Argentina)LO·AR·1 day ago
MarketsReportedMedium
5.2
JP Morgan Cuts Argentina 2026 GDP Forecast to 1.5%, Sees Q3 Recession
JP Morgan slashed its 2026 growth forecast for Argentina from 2.7% to 1.5% after the EMAE activity index fell 2.9% in July, signaling a sharper slowdown than expected. The bank now projects a technical recession in Q3, reflecting deepening economic contraction amid ongoing stabilization efforts. The revision underscores deteriorating momentum and raises risks to fiscal and external targets.
Score Breakdown
Mosaic Score5.2
Model confidence0.7
Significance0.5
Source credibility0.4
Part of a situation
Related signals
8 foundMarketsHighReportedAccelerating
7.3
Argentina: Consumption collapse, recession, and reserve scarcity fuel market uncertainty
PerfilLO·AR·1 day ago
PoliticsNotableReported
6.4
Milei denies Argentina recession; QR payments surge 67% YoY
La Nación (Argentina)LO·AR·1 day ago
MarketsNotableReportedDeveloping
5.8
Argentina Finance Minister Caputo's fiscal plan faces headwinds as country risk rises
PerfilLO·AR·about 17 hours ago
MarketsNotableReported
5.8
Ex-IMF director urges Milei to cut rates, allow peso depreciation to exit recession
PerfilLO·AR · US·1 day ago
MarketsNotableReported
5.5
Argentina Household Consumption Drops 1.1% YoY in August, CAC Index Shows
PerfilLO·AR·1 day ago
PoliticsNotableReportedDeveloping
5.4
Milei denies recession as JPMorgan cuts Argentina 2026 growth forecast to 1.5%
La Nación (Argentina)LO·AR · US·2 days ago
PoliticsNotableReported
5.2
Argentina: Formal workers outnumbered by informal for first time, says ex-Banco Nación chief
La Nación (Argentina)LO·AR·3 days ago