US 2027 readiness benchmark for Taiwan contingency diverges from intel on PLA intent

US military planning is converging on 2027 as a readiness deadline for a potential Taiwan contingency, even though a March intelligence assessment concluded Beijing does not currently plan an attack that year and lacks a fixed timeline for unification. The divergence between operational planning and intelligence estimates suggests the US is hedging against worst-case scenarios, which could shape force posture and deterrence dynamics in the Indo-Pacific.

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