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8.8

El Niño probability rises to 75%, potentially strongest in 76 years

Colombia's Ideam raises El Niño probability to 75%, which would make it the strongest in 76 years. This signals heightened risk of drought, wildfires, and agricultural disruption across the region. The forecast is based on model consensus but remains probabilistic.

El Espectadorabout 6 hours agoCOCredibility 31%View source

Score Breakdown

Mosaic Score8.8
Confidence0.5
Significance0.8
Source credibility0.3

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Colombia

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country
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