Supertanker rates retreat from record highs as Red Sea attacks ease, US weighs shadow-fleet sanctions relief
Published 2 d ago3 sourcesEvidence: Reported
Kpler analysis suggests that reported US plans to ease sanctions on shadow fleet tankers would have limited impact on record freight rates, as only 24 of ~160 sanctioned VLCCs could return to mainstream trade due to age and ownership restrictions. War risk premiums in the Middle East Gulf, not vessel availability, are the primary driver of freight costs, indicating that sanctions relief alone will not resolve the tanker crisis.
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VLCC freight rates have retreated from record highs, attributed to an easing of Red Sea attacks and reports of potential US sanctions relief on the 'shadow fleet'. However, analysis suggests that sanctions relief alone will have limited impact on overall freight costs, as war risk premiums in the Middle East Gulf remain the primary driver, and only a small fraction of sanctioned vessels are viable for mainstream trade.
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