Middle East crude flows near pre-war levels, but war costs keep prices high
Published 1 d ago1 sourceEvidence: Reported
Middle Eastern crude exports through the Strait of Hormuz, including pipeline shipments, have recovered to 80-85% of pre-war levels, while refined-product exports remain at only 35%. This divergence indicates Gulf producers are prioritizing crude over refined products amid persistent chokepoint vulnerability, despite diplomatic signals suggesting potential de-escalation. The lag in refined products may reflect ongoing security concerns or shifts in refinery operations, with implications for global product supply and refining margins.
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