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7.2

South China Sea Code of Conduct Misses 2026 Deadline, Conflict Risk Rises

China and ASEAN states have failed to conclude the Code of Conduct in the South China Sea by the end of 2026, after 21 years of negotiations. The missed deadline heightens the risk of maritime incidents and escalation, as no binding rules govern competing claims. The lack of agreement underscores persistent distrust and complicates regional stability.

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N1 Bosniaabout 6 hours agoCN, PH, VN, MY, BN, ID, SG, TH, KH, LA, MMCredibility 28%View source

Score Breakdown

Mosaic Score7.2
Model confidence0.5
Significance0.8
Source credibility0.3

Intelligence Tags

Locations

South China Sea

Entities

ChinacountryIndonesiacountryMyanmarcountryASEANorganizationSouth China Searegion
Source

Related signals

8 found