ECMWF projects El Niño could exceed 3°C, historic event; Southern Cone impacts expected by Q4

The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts projects a potentially historic El Niño event, with sea surface temperature anomalies possibly exceeding 3°C. This would mark a significant intensification beyond typical strong events, with local impacts in the Southern Cone expected to become clearer in the last quarter of the year. The projection is based on global models, but actual intensity and regional effects remain uncertain.