RAND War Game: Post-Putin Russia-NATO Conflict Scenario

RAND published a hypothetical scenario of a Russia-NATO war triggered by Putin's death in January 2027 and a subsequent FSB general seizing power. This is an analytical exercise, not a forecast, but it signals Western defense planners' growing focus on post-Putin instability and NATO's eastern flank. The scenario underscores uncertainty about Russian succession and the risk of miscalculation.

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