Brazil poll: Tarcísio leads Haddad 57-40 in São Paulo runoff

A Real Time Big Data poll shows São Paulo governor Tarcísio de Freitas leading Fernando Haddad 57% to 40% in a hypothetical second round, with Tarcísio also ahead in the first round. This indicates a strong incumbency advantage ahead of the 2026 election, though the poll is a snapshot and not predictive of final outcomes.