European Model Warns of Second El Niño Peak in 2027, Raising Flood Risk in Peru and Ecuador

A European climate model projects a second El Niño peak in 2027, which could intensify rainfall in Peru and Ecuador. Peru's ENFEN forecasts above-average precipitation on the northern coast and highlands, as well as in several Ecuadorian provinces, increasing flood risk. The forecast is preliminary and based on model output, with uncertainty remaining over the timing and magnitude of the event.

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