Moscow unlikely to allow Lukashenko to emulate Tokayev, Carnegie expert says

Carnegie expert Maxim Samorukov assesses that Moscow will not permit Belarusian leader Lukashenko to adopt a multi-vector policy akin to Kazakhstan's Tokayev, despite a reported potassium deal between Trump and Lukashenko. The analysis suggests limits to Belarusian independence vis-à-vis Russia, with implications for regional power dynamics.

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