Politics
9.0
Brazil polls: Flávio leads in 12 of 13 surveys, 5 days before election
Published 7 h ago6 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyPoder360BR
MarketsReportedMediumDeveloping
6.2
Brazil Treasury yields fall sharply after polls show Flávio ahead of Lula
Brazilian Treasury Direct (prefixado) yields fell sharply, erasing most of Monday's gains, after new polls from Real Time Big Data and Alfa Inteligência showed Flávio ahead of Lula. The move suggests markets are pricing a lower risk premium on reduced political uncertainty, despite a concurrent rise in oil prices.
Score Breakdown
Mosaic Score6.2
Model confidence0.5
Significance0.5
Source credibility0.5
Part of a situation
Related signals
8 foundPolitics
8.8
Brazil polls show technical tie between Lula and Flávio entering final week
Published 1 d ago5 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyInfoMoneyBR
Politics
8.7
Brazil runoff: Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro statistically tied with week to go
Published 1 h ago4 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyDeutsche WelleBR · US
Politics
7.3
Brazil runoff: two-point gap signals technical tie days before vote
Published 2 d ago2 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyLa Nación (Argentina)Low-rated sourceBR
Markets
6.2
Brazil Treasury Yields Drop Up to 9bp on External Cues, Polls
Published 1 d ago3 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityModerateInfoMoneyBR
Markets
6.1
Brazilian real firms as polls show Lula narrowing gap in election race
Published 1 d ago3 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityModerateAssessedDeveloping storyInfoMoneyBR
Politics
2.0
Celina Leão leads DF gubernatorial polls, Grass trails in latest surveys
Published 7 h ago1 sourceEvidence: Reported
AssessedDeveloping storyPoder360BR
Politics
8.5
Bolsonaro dynasty poised to reclaim Brazil presidency; Flávio leads polls
Published 1 d ago4 sourcesEvidence: Unknown
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyNOSBR