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Fed Signals Cooling on Further Rate Hikes After September Increase

The Federal Reserve has signaled a reduced probability of another rate hike at its late-October meeting, following a 25bp increase in September that set the target range at 3.75%-4%. This marks a dovish shift in forward guidance, suggesting the tightening cycle may be nearing its end. The development matters as it could ease pressure on risk assets and support a softer dollar.

BioBío Chileabout 12 hours agoUSCredibility 15%View source

Score Breakdown

Mosaic Score7.5

Model confidence0.5

Significance0.8

Source credibility0.1

Intelligence Tags

#federal-reserve #monetary-policy #interest-rates #forward-guidance #us-economy

Locations

Washington D.C.

Entities

countryorganization

Source

Part of 2 situations

activeMarketsPoliticsjust now

United States — 188 developments

→ stable·39 signals·USScore 5.4

developingMarkets11h ago

US Fed Monetary Policy: Divergent Signals on Future Rate Hikes

The Federal Reserve has signaled a reduced probability of further rate hikes post-September, indicating a potential end to the tightening cycle. However, Citi has revised its forecast, now expecting a 25bp hike in December due to persistent inflation. This creates uncertainty regarding the Fed's near-term monetary policy trajectory.

→ stable·↑2 signals·USScore 4.9