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6.8

Russia plans month-long air campaign to destroy Ukraine's energy grid

A Russian battle plan obtained by Kyiv and shared with European allies indicates Moscow intends to use 70 ballistic missiles, 720 long-range drones, and 150 guided bombs to knock out water, heat, and electricity in Kyiv, Kharkiv, and Odesa. The plan reflects a strategic bet that a concentrated bombing campaign can achieve what four winters of attacks have not, despite historical evidence that air power alone rarely forces surrender. The plan's authenticity is unverified, and its execution timeline and feasibility remain uncertain.

Digi241 day agoUA, RUCredibility 32%View source

Score Breakdown

Mosaic Score6.8
Model confidence0.5
Significance0.8
Source credibility0.3

Intelligence Tags

Locations

KyivKharkivOdesaMoscow

Entities

countrycountry
Source

Related signals

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