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9.2

Signum Global Advisors model predicts Trump policy pivot date based on market volatility

Analysts at Signum Global Advisors have developed a quantitative model, dubbed 'TACO,' to forecast potential U.S. policy shifts regarding Iran based on Brent crude prices, Treasury yields, S&P 500 performance, and Strait of Hormuz activity. The model identifies July 26 as a high-probability date for a de-escalation, though the methodology relies on historical behavioral patterns rather than confirmed intelligence.

Valor Econômico3 days agoUS, IRCredibility 45%View source

Score Breakdown

Mosaic Score9.2
Confidence0.1
Significance0.5
Source credibility0.5

Intelligence Tags

Locations

Strait of Hormuz

Entities

countrycountrypersonmarketmarketmarketregion
Source

Related signals

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