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The Atlantic Council argues that Gulf states are drawing different conclusions from the recent Iran war regarding their security and approach to Tehran, undermining Washington's assumption of a unified Gulf position. This divergence could complicate US efforts to build a cohesive regional policy toward Iran. The piece reflects an analytical perspective rather than a confirmed policy shift, but signals a potential fragmentation in Gulf alignment.
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Gulf states are preparing for potential conflict with Iran, evidenced by remote work protocols at Aramco and regional war preparations. Concurrently, these states are reportedly diversifying security partnerships due to a perceived reduction in US security guarantees. This shift is complicated by an emerging divergence among Gulf states regarding their long-term strategy toward Tehran, challenging US assumptions of a unified regional approach.
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