active→ StableGeopoliticsConflictDefense
Iran — 66 developments
Impact
5.6
Confidence
Medium
Evidence
70 sig · 41 src
Trajectory
→ Stable
Geo
US IR IL
First seen Jul 24·Updated Sep 9·Synthesized Sep 9
Assessment
Medium confidence: 37/70 signals corroborated across 41 independent sources
Evidence
Confirmed · 41 independent sources · 70 signals · 41 independent sources · 1 high-credibility
Corroborated37 · 24 src · best low 58%
- Sep 8Global Diesel Supply Tightness to Persist into Early Next Year, Industry Warns
- Sep 8UK Moves to Reinstate Iran Sanctions Over Hostile Actions
- Sep 8South Korea dispatches fact-finding team to Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran war
- Sep 8Panama Canal tightens transit limits amid El Niño, rerouted traffic
- Sep 8Huawei faces US trial over Iran sanctions evasion and trade secret theft
- Sep 8UK Publishes Legislation for Tougher Sanctions Against Iran
- Sep 8Iran Confirms Hormuz Control, US Announces Strait Open Amid Military Escalation
- Sep 8Iran unveils upgraded ballistic missile, warns US warships of preemptive strikes
+ 29 more
- Sep 8Iran Threatens US with 'Economic War' and Missile Launch at Warships
- Sep 7Panama Canal chief weighs further transit cuts as El Nino drought persists
- Sep 7US Navy secretly clears mines from Strait of Hormuz; threat of re-laying persists
- Sep 7Iran warns of 'painful response' to further attacks amid sanctions pressure
- Sep 7Iran warns South Korea against military deployment in Strait of Hormuz
- Sep 7Global ship fuel shortage worsens as Iran and Ukraine wars tighten crude supply
- Sep 7South Korea in talks with international community on Hormuz security, keeps Iran channel open
- Sep 7US Navy SEALs secretly clear mines from Strait of Hormuz over four months
- Sep 7Iran Deploys New Anti-Ship Missile, Threatens Hormuz Closure
- Sep 7Iran warns US energy assets exposed, vows retaliation for strikes
- Sep 6US Energy Secretary: Iran Nuclear Deal Unlikely, Military Option Possible
- Sep 6Iran signals retaliation after US strikes tankers inside blockade line
- Sep 6US Energy Secretary Signals Possible Military Option on Iran Nuclear Program
- Sep 6Iraqi Ruling Coalition Warns of Sanctions Fallout, Defies US Pressure on Iran
- Sep 6Iran vows economic fixes, warns of 'painful response' to further attacks
- Sep 5US sanctions and oil blockade pressure Iran, sources say economy straining
- Sep 5US VP Vance downplays Iran conflict, calls it not a 'war'
- Sep 5Pentagon dissent grows over Hegseth's leadership amid Iran war
- Sep 5Pentagon polygraphs 50 staff after ammunition shortage leaks
- Sep 5Trump Admin Drafts Post-War Middle East Strategy to Counter Iran, Expand Israel Normalization
- Sep 5US sanctions Turkish bank over alleged IRGC ties; Ankara threatens legal action
- Sep 5Pentagon polygraphs 50 JCS staff in leak probe
- Sep 4Trump to fly Qatar-gifted jet to Ireland despite unresolved security concerns
- Sep 4Trump to fly Qatari-donated Air Force One to Ireland in first international trip
- Sep 4Trump admin drafts post-war Middle East plan to contain Iran, expand Israel normalization
- Sep 4US sanctions Turkish bank, subsidiaries in renewed Iran pressure campaign
- Sep 4US probes possible American munition strike on wedding in Iran; Vance confirms investigation
- Sep 4US-Iran conflict persists six months on; no exit strategy visible
- Sep 4Vance downplays Iran conflict as 'not a war' amid Hormuz tensions
Single-source11 · 10 src · best low 62%
- Sep 8Huawei faces New York criminal trial over trade secret theft and bank fraud
- Sep 8Huawei faces US racketeering trial after eight-year legal battle
- Sep 8Global Diesel Supply Crunch to Persist Through Winter on Refining Gaps
- Sep 7Mojtaba Khamenei Six Months as Iran Supreme Leader, No Public Appearances
- Sep 7Shipping Fuel Oil Shortage Looms as Refiners Prioritize Diesel
- Sep 6Hegseth Purges Pentagon Civilian Leadership Amid Iran War Strains
- Sep 5Pentagon orders polygraph tests to hunt leakers after weapons stockpile reports
- Sep 5US investigates airstrike that killed civilians at Iranian wedding
Emerging22 · 18 src · best high 90%
- Sep 8US asserts full control of Strait of Hormuz as South Korea weighs naval deployment
- Sep 8South Korea weighs Hormuz Strait deployment amid US pressure
- Sep 8Seoul Weighs Hormuz Military Role Amid US Pressure, Tehran Warnings
- Sep 8Iran claims advanced missile strike on US warships, threatens economic warfare
- Sep 7Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Jamenei Injured, Absent from Public for Six Months
- Sep 7Iran Threatens Retaliation Against U.S. Energy Firms if Washington Strikes Its Facilities
- Sep 7Panama Canal weighs tighter transit limits as El Niño deepens drought
- Sep 7Iran Deploys New Anti-Ship Missile Against US Navy in Persian Gulf
+ 14 more
- Sep 7Panama Canal faces water-driven traffic cuts amid shipping strain
- Sep 7Iran warns US energy firms face strikes if Washington attacks tankers
- Sep 7Iran Warns of Faster, Harder Response to Any US or Israeli Attack
- Sep 6Iran Tests Anti-Ship Missile Over US Carrier, First Such Claim
- Sep 6Iran to declare restricted maritime zone beyond Strait of Hormuz
- Sep 6US Unveils 'Operation Economic Outcast' Sanctions Campaign on August 24
- Sep 6Iran vows economic fixes, threatens more painful attacks amid stalemate
- Sep 6Iran to Establish No-Fly Zone Outside Strait of Hormuz
- Sep 6Iran to Declare No-Go Zone Near Strait of Hormuz, Escalating Gulf Standoff
- Sep 6Iran Threatens Faster, More Painful Response to US Ship Attacks
- Sep 6Iran to declare restricted zone outside Strait of Hormuz from US naval blockade line
- Sep 6IRGC warns US economic blockade will backfire, cost Washington more than Tehran
- Sep 4US Probes Strike on Iranian Wedding; Evidence Suggests American Missile
- Sep 4US-Iran strikes renew conflict; experts weigh endgame scenarios
Discussion
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