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Brazil 2026: Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro statistically tied ahead of first round
La República (Peru)LO·BR·3 days ago
Brazil's 2026 presidential election is expected to be extremely close, with a well-connected banker publicly predicting a 51-49 split. The financial market is focusing less on poll numbers and more on late-stage vote volatility, particularly the movement of undecided voters, as the decisive factor. This suggests high uncertainty and potential market sensitivity to the outcome.