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Flávio Bolsonaro leads Lula in 10 of 12 polls ahead of Brazil runoff

With nine days until Brazil's presidential runoff, Senator Flávio Bolsonaro holds a numerical lead in 10 of 12 recent polls compiled by Poder360, while Lula leads in one. The race remains within margins of error in most surveys, indicating high uncertainty. This signals a potential shift from earlier polling and could impact market expectations for fiscal policy and governance.

Poder360about 18 hours agoBRCredibility 40%View source

Score Breakdown

Mosaic Score8.0

Model confidence0.5

Significance0.8

Source credibility0.4

Intelligence Tags

#election #polls #brazil #presidential #runoff

Locations

Brazil

Entities

country

Source

Part of 2 situations

activePoliticsJustice2h ago

Brazil 2026 Presidential Runoff: Flavio Bolsonaro Leads Lula in Tight Race

Multiple recent polls indicate Flavio Bolsonaro holds a narrow lead over incumbent Lula da Silva in Brazil's 2026 presidential runoff, with all leads falling within the margin of error, signifying a statistical tie. The race is highly competitive and uncertain, with nine days remaining until the runoff. Allegations of social media platform bias and media bias against Lula have emerged but remain unverified.

↑ escalating·15 signals·BR, USScore 6.1

activePoliticsMarkets6m ago