Politics
8.5
Brazil Runoff: Lula Faces Tight Race as Challenger Gains Ground
Published 1 d ago6 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyGazeta WyborczaBR · US
PoliticsReportedMediumDeveloping
6.1
Brazil runoff: 94-95% of voters locked in, limited swing potential
Real Time Big Data polling shows 94-95% of voters for both presidential candidates are firm in their choice, indicating limited room for vote switching ahead of the runoff. This suggests the race may hinge on undecided voters and mobilization rather than persuasion.
Score Breakdown
Mosaic Score6.1
Model confidence0.5
Significance0.5
Source credibility0.5
Related signals
8 foundPolitics
8.0
Flávio Bolsonaro leads Lula in 10 of 12 polls ahead of Brazil runoff
Published 22 h ago3 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyPoder360BR
Politics
7.7
Flávio leads Lula in 11 of 13 polls ahead of Brazil runoff
Published 1 h ago2 sourcesEvidence: Unknown
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyPoder360BR
Politics
7.2
Lula and Flávio adjust campaign strategies after first round
Published 2 d ago5 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityModerateAssessedDeveloping storyInfoMoneyBR
Politics
7.0
DF runoff: Celina leads with 53%, Grass 36% in partial count
Published 2 d ago6 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityModerateAssessedDeveloping storyInfoMoneyBR
Politics
2.0
Brazil Tocantins runoff: Vicentinho leads Dorinha 49-42% (Quaest)
Published 2 d ago1 sourceEvidence: Reported
Poder360BR
Markets
9.3
Brazil rate futures surge as Lula gains on Bolsonaro in Quaest poll
Published 1 d ago7 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyValor EconômicoLow-rated sourceBR
Politics
9.2
Brazil 2026 runoff: Flavio Bolsonaro 47%, Lula 45% — technical tie
Published 20 h ago6 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyLa Nación (Argentina)Low-rated sourceBR